Common Names: No Common Names
Synonyms: No Synonyms

Red List Status
CR - Critically Endangered, B1ab(iii)+2ab(iii); D (IUCN version 3.1)
 
Possibly Extinct: Yes
Possibly Extinct in the Wild: No
Date Last Recorded (in the wild): 1957

Red List Assessment

Red List Status

Is the reassessment subject to the 5-year rule? (Not specified)

Assessment Information

Date of Assessment: 2023-01-26

Reviewed? (Not specified)

Assessor(s): Braun, K.

Reviewer(s): (Not specified)

Contributor(s): (Not specified)

Facilitators/Compilers: (Not specified)

Institution(s): (Not specified)

Acknowledgements: (Not specified)

Regions: Global

Regional Expert Questions: (Not specified)

Assessment Rationale

Pachycarpus stelliceps is only known from the Mbabane area in Eswatini, from two records.  One of the localities has since been developed as part of the urban area, and the other does not have detailed locality information.  As this species is only known from within an urban area, there is an ongoing threat of urban expansion which might have a direct impact on the habitat for this plant.  The very limited known distribution qualifies this species for a Vulnerable listing.  However, based on the ongoing loss of habitat combined with its small area of occupancy and lack of recent records, it is assessed as Critically Endangered. 
Most recent record: 1956

Reasons for Change

Reason(s) for Change in Red List Category from the Previous Assessment: (Not specified)

Red List Index

Red List Index: (Not specified)

Distribution

Geographic Range

This species is only known from the Mbabane area in Eswatini.

Area of Occupancy (AOO)

Estimated area of occupancy (AOO) - in km2Justification
4This species is known from two specimens, one without detailed locality information, the other from an area which has since been developed. The estimated area of occupancy was calculated using GeoCAT (Bachman et al. 2011), with the standard 2x2 km grid cell being applied.

Continuing decline in area of occupancy (AOO): (Not specified)

Extreme fluctuations in area of occupancy (AOO): (Not specified)

Extent of Occurrence (EOO)

Estimated extent of occurrence (EOO)- in km2EOO estimate calculated from Minimum Convex PolygonJustification
4trueThis species is known from two specimens. With only one accurate occurrence record it is not possible to calculate EOO, so the area of occupancy has been used.
Continuing decline in extent of occurrence (EOO)QualifierJustification
Unknown--

Extreme fluctuations in extent of occurrence (EOO): (Not specified)

Locations Information

Number of LocationsJustification
1This species is known from only two records, one without detailed locality information, the other has since been developed as an urban area.
Continuing decline in number of locationsQualifierJustification
Unknown--
Extreme fluctuations in the number of locationsJustification
Unknown-

Very restricted AOO or number of locations (triggers VU D2)

Very restricted in area of occupancy (AOO) and/or # of locationsJustification
YesThe two records for this species are both from the Mbabane area, one without detailed locality information. The more detailed locality is from within an area that has since been developed into a township.

Elevation / Depth / Depth Zones

Elevation Lower Limit (in metres above sea level): 1150

Elevation Upper Limit (in metres above sea level): 1375

Depth Lower Limit (in metres below sea level): (Not specified)

Depth Upper Limit (in metres below sea level): (Not specified)

Depth Zone: (Not specified)

Map Status

Map Status: (Not specified)

Biogeographic Realms

Biogeographic Realm: Afrotropical

Occurrence

Countries of Occurrence

CountryPresenceOriginFormerly BredSeasonality
EswatiniExtantNative--

Large Marine Ecosystems (LME) Occurrence

Large Marine Ecosystems: (Not specified)

FAO Area Occurrence

FAO Marine Areas: (Not specified)

Population

Known only from two records, one from 1905, the other 1957, it is possible that there were two subpopulations of this species This species was first collected by H. Bolus in 1905, from the Mbabane area. No detailed locality information is available for this collection.  A second record of this species is now known, a specimen collected by Prof. Compton in 1967 which is in the Pretoria Herbarium was re-named P. stelliceps in 2014.  This specimen was collected from Stroma, a farm at the time, now developed as Nkwalini.  It is likely that the precise locality where this plant was found fell within the development area, but there are adjacent hills where it might be found again.

Population Information

Current Population Trend: Unknown

Number of mature individuals (=population size): 0

Extreme fluctuations? (in # of mature individuals): (Not specified)

Severely fragmented? (Not specified)

Continuing decline in mature individuals? (Not specified)

Continuing decline % in mature individuals within 1 generation or 3 years, whichever is longer (up to max. of 100 years in the future): (Not specified)

Continuing decline % in mature individuals within 2 generations or 5 years, whichever is longer (up to max. of 100 years in the future): (Not specified)

Continuing decline % in mature individuals within 3 generations or 10 years, whichever is longer (up to max. of 100 years in the future): (Not specified)

Extreme fluctuations in the number of subpopulations: (Not specified)

Continuing decline in number of subpopulations: (Not specified)

All individuals in one subpopulation: (Not specified)

Number of mature individuals in largest subpopulation: (Not specified)

Number of Subpopulations: (Not specified)

Population Reduction - Past

Percent Change in past: (Not specified)

Past Population Reduction Basis: (Not specified)

Causes of past reduction reversible? (Not specified)

Causes of past reduction understood? (Not specified)

Causes of past reduction ceased? (Not specified)

Population Reduction - Future

Percent Change in future: (Not specified)

Future Population Reduction Basis: (Not specified)

Population Reduction - Ongoing

Both: Percent Change over any 10 year or 3 generation period, whichever is longer, and must include both past and future, future can't go beyond 100 years: (Not specified)

Both Population Reduction Basis: (Not specified)

Causes of both (past and future) reduction reversible? (Not specified)

Causes of both (past and future) reduction understood? (Not specified)

Causes of both (past and future) reduction ceased? (Not specified)

Quantitative Analysis

Probability of extinction in the wild within 3 generations or 10 years, whichever is longer, maximum 100 years: (Not specified)

Probability of extinction in the wild within 5 generations or 20 years, whichever is longer, maximum 100 years: (Not specified)

Probability of extinction in the wild within 100 years: (Not specified)

Habitats and Ecology

This species is known from the type specimen, with a locality of Mbabane, without any further detail, and from Farm Stroma the Mbabane area, now developed as Nkwalini.  The area is mountainous, with habitats including open sourveld grassland, granite rock outcrops, small pockets of forest, and streams and small vlei systems.  The second record label information indicates this plant was found amongst rocks, with a hilltop locality, so it has been assumed that the habitat for this species is rocky hilltops.  The vegetation type for the area is KaNgwane Montane Grassland (Gm16) (Mucina et. al., 2018).

IUCN Habitats Classification Scheme

HabitatSeasonSuitabilityMajor Importance?
4.7. Grassland -> Grassland - Subtropical/Tropical High Altitude-Suitable-

Continuing Decline in Habitat

Continuing decline in area, extent and/or quality of habitat?QualifierJustification
YesInferredExpansion of the city of Mbabane

Life History

Generation Length: (Not specified)

Age at maturity: female or unspecified: (Not specified)

Age at Maturity: Male: (Not specified)

Size at Maturity (in cms): Female: (Not specified)

Size at Maturity (in cms): Male: (Not specified)

Longevity: (Not specified)

Average Reproductive Age: (Not specified)

Maximum Size (in cms): (Not specified)

Size at Birth (in cms): (Not specified)

Gestation Time: (Not specified)

Reproductive Periodicity: (Not specified)

Average Annual Fecundity or Litter Size: (Not specified)

Annual Rate of Population Increase: (Not specified)

Natural Mortality: (Not specified)

Does the species lay eggs? (Not specified)

Does the species give birth to live young: (Not specified)

Does the species exhibit parthenogenesis: (Not specified)

Does the species have a free-living larval stage? (Not specified)

Does the species require water for breeding? (Not specified)

Movement Patterns

Movement Patterns: (Not specified)

Congregatory: (Not specified)

Systems

System: Terrestrial

Plant / Fungi Specific

Wild relative of a crop? (Not specified)

Plant and Fungal Growth Forms: (Not specified)

Use and Trade

General Use and Trade Information

Species not utilized: (Not specified)

No use/trade information for this species: (Not specified)

General notes regarding trade and use of this species: (Not specified)

Local Livelihood: (Not specified)

National Commercial Value: (Not specified)

International Commercial Value: (Not specified)

End Use: (Not specified)

Is there harvest from captive/cultivated sources of this species? (Not specified)

Trend in level of total offtake from wild sources: (Not specified)

Trend in level of total offtake from domesticated sources: (Not specified)

Harvest Trend Comments: (Not specified)

Non- Consumptive Use

Non-consumptive use of the species? (Not specified)

Explanation of non-consumptive use: (Not specified)

Livelihoods

Livelihoods: (Not specified)

Threats

The two known specimens, from 1905 and 1957 was recorded as being from the Mbabane area, but one with no detailed locality information. The second record was from an area now urban area (Nkwalini). As the area has developed considerably over the intervening years, it is possible that this species is now extinct as a result.  However, there are areas of natural vegetation still remaining nearby, so it is not impossible that future surveys could find this species.

Threats Classification Scheme

No past, ongoing, or future threats exist to this species. (Not specified)

The threats to this species are unknown. (Not specified)

ThreatTimingScopeSeverity
1.1. Residential & commercial development -> Housing & urban areasOngoing--

Conservation

There is currently no conservation within the general area where this species was recorded.  If this species is found on nearby hills, conservation actions to prevent its extinction would be desirable.

Conservation Actions In- Place

Action Recovery PlanNote
No-
Systematic monitoring schemeNote
No-
Conservation sites identifiedNote
No-
Occur in at least one PANote
No-
Percentage of population protected by PAs (0-100)Note
0-

Area based regional management plan: (Not specified)

Invasive species control or preventionNote
No-
Harvest management planNote
No-
Successfully reintroduced or introduced benignlyNote
No-
Subject to ex-situ conservationNote
No-
Subject to recent education and awareness programmesNote
No-
Included in international legislationNote
No-
Subject to any international management/trade controlsNote
No-

Important Conservation Actions Needed

Conservation ActionsNote
1.2. Land/water protection -> Resource & habitat protectionVery little information is currently available on this species, but based on the locality information for the record collected by Prof. Compton in 1956, it would appear to be found in rocky grassland on hilltop areas. This habitat contains many potentially threatened plant species, so the introduction of some form of protection for this habitat in the Mbabane area would reduce the probability of loss of many of these species.
3.4.2. Species management -> Ex-situ conservation -> Genome resource bankIf this plant can be located again, collection of seed for ex-situ conservation would be a way of ensuring the survival of this species.

Research Needed

ResearchNote
1.2. Research -> Population size, distribution & trends-
1.3. Research -> Life history & ecology-

Ecosystem Services

Ecosystem Services Provided by the Species

Insufficient Information AvailableAll coded services should have an importance score of 5 - Not Known.
true-

Species provides no ecosystem services: (Not specified)

Ecosystem Services: (Not specified)

Bibliography

Bachman S, Moat J, Hill AW, de la Torre J, Scott B. 2011. Supporting Red List threat assessments with GeoCAT geospatial conservation tool. In: Smith V, Penev L (Eds) e-Infrastructure for data publishing in biodiversity science. . ZooKeys 150: 117-126.

Mucina, L., Rutherford, M.C. and Powrie, L.W. (Editors). 2018. The Vegetation Map of South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland. South African National Biodiversity Institute. Available at: http://bgis.sanbi.org/Projects/Detail/186.